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European shares volatile ahead of EU finance ministers meeting

ecPulse
2012-11-12 09:47AM UTC

European shares are rather volatile with the beginning of this week`s session, with the lack of major fundamentals to be released.

The fluctuation in Europe`s stock markets also coincide Greek legislators` approval to the 2013 budget.

Investors, on the other end, are anxious to EU finance ministers` impending meeting in Brussels over a rescue plan to debt-laden Greece. However, it seems that the ministers would find difficulty in release the second aid tranche. Officials stated Thursday that the ministers will not come out with a concrete decision on Athens until the end of November as they anticipate Troika`s unfinished report.

Greece`s parliament endorsed earlier Monday the 2013 budget, which includes spending reductions recommended by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. Only following EU recommendations would guarantee Athens the second rescue aid batch by international lenders.

At precisely 03:34 EST, French CAC 40 fell 0.12% to 3419.45, German DAX fell to 7619.09, or 0.08%, and Britain`s FTSE 100 by 0.16% to 0.16% to 5778.99.

Meanwhile, at 12:05 (GMT +3) the euro dropped to $1.2707 after opening at $1.2710. The EUR/USD pair hit highest intraday at $1.2737 and touched the low of $1.2696 so far.

The British pound continued falling pushing the GBP/USD pair lower to trade at $1.5883 after opening at $1.5901, recording the highest at $1.5913 and snapping back to intraday low of $1.5878.

Asian stocks seen lower on Japan’s contraction and the US fiscal woes

Fx News Today
2012-11-12 08:48AM UTC

After data showed Japan’s economy shrank last quarter while worries over the U.S. fiscal woes persist, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.3% at 14:35 in Tokyo, overshadowing the improved economic data from China.

Japan’s gross domestic product fell 3.5% from July to September, after a revised 0.3% gain the previous quarter. The world’s third largest economy shrank as overseas sales dropped and consumer spending slumped.

Meanwhile, worries over a possible U.S. recession advanced, as U.S. President Barak Obama is struggling to reach a deal to avert the looming “fiscal cliff”, a $600 billion of budget cuts and tax increases scheduled to take effect in January.

On the other hand, in China, exports increased at the fastest pace in five months in October by 11.6% compared with the 10% estimations. However, this suggests a less urgent need for new economic stimulus measures as recovery is improving.

Caution is also seen rising as Greece approved an austerity budget to allow it extend its international financial bailout and avoid bankruptcy; yet a meeting of the euro zone finance ministers today is not expected to take a final decision on that.

In Japan Nikkei 225 fell 0.93% to 8676.44 and Topix fell 1.12% to 722.58 on concerns over Japan’s contraction, the U.S. fiscal woes, Greece`s bailout and profit warnings from corporates.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.21% to 21430.30 and CSI 300 rose 0.49% to 2251.85 after China witnessed the biggest trade surplus in 45 months in October as exports rose by the highest in five months.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.31% to 4448.03. Zealand’s NZX 50 rose 0.66% to 3983.99. South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.19% to 1900.87. Taiwan Taiex fell 0.35% to 7267.75. India’s BSE Sensex 30 fell 0.22% to 18642.61.

Singapore’s FTSE Strait Times fell 0.09% to 3006.89. Thailand’s Thai index rose 0.33% to 1295.06. Jakarta Comp fell 0.18% to 4325.73. FTSE Malaysia fell 0.23% to 1637.36. Philippine’s PSEi rose 0.03% to 5470.70.

Gold trades above three-week high, ahead of Eurogroup meeting

Fx News Today
2012-11-12 08:00AM UTC
Precious-Gold inched up on Monday trading, after hitting three week high last week, in a thin trading amid the Veterans Day holiday and absence of fundamentals from major economies, ahead of Eurogroup finance minister`s meeting.     The shiny metal resumed its advance today to trade around $1733.00 an ounce, below tough resistance at $1735.00 levels, after surging 3.27% last week, recovering some of the losses incurred over the previous four weeks when it slipped 5.73%.  The trading range for this week is expected among the key support at $1698.00 and key resistance now at $1780.00. The trading volume, currently, is not high as US banks will be closed in observance of Veterans Day while there is no data on the economic calendar, after the release of important Japanese and Chinese data. Last week, investors altered their trading positions shifting to gold after the win of Obama as they resorted to the yellow metal at the expense of equities as their hopes to see a cut in corporate taxes pledged by Mitt Romney were dented.   Now, gold is seen as a safe haven amid the undergoing concerns related to the upcoming so-called "fiscal cliff" worth $600 billion of tax increases and spending cuts in 2013 which is predicted to weigh on growth and unemployment. Hence, the Fed is likely to continue with its stimulus policy to spur growth and give a strong impetus to the vulnerable labor market, thereby enhancing demand on the metal as an inflation hedge. The Fed said on Oct. 24 it is still sticking to its pledge to resume the unlimited buy of $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities till the labor market shows remarkable signs of improvement.     Also last week gold was seen separate from movements in the FX market, especially the dollar and euro movements, as it rose sharply despite the advance in the dollar to two-month high against major currencies and the weakness in the European common currency. Meanwhile, the market is steady as the advance in China`s exports was offset by the drop in Japan`s third quarter GDP; while China’s exports soared an annualized 11.6 percent in October, the Japanese economy shrank an annualized 3.5 percent in the three months through September.   In Europe, Greece secured another critical Parliamentary vote on its 2013 budget after last week`s approval of austerity measures needed to unleash the next installment worth 31.5 billion euros to prevent the country from bankruptcy when 5 billion euros of debt matures on Nov. 16.  Today, Eurogroup finance ministers will meet in Brussels to discuss whether Greece is in compliance with its bailout agreement, where there will be no signing on Greece`s next tranche as mentioned by a European official last week who revealed that the country will not fall in "accidental default" when debt matures.  However, the euro remained weak on Monday around two-week low to trade around 1.2703 versus the greenback, after opening today`s trades at 1.2710. On the flip side, the dollar advanced above two-month high against a basket of major currencies, as depicted by the dollar index which rose to a high of 81.07 from an opening of 81.02, reminding that the breach of 80.80 last week, which represents the intersection of SMA 200 and SMA 100 on the daily charts, may help the dollar to continue its rise and becomes its key support this week. Crude oil for December`s delivery slipped on the daily basis to trade around $85.88 a barrel from the day`s opening of $86.10.

RBA lowers 2013 growth estimates

Fx News Today
2012-11-12 01:37AM UTC

Reserve Bank of Australia reduced its 2013 growth estimates for the nation’s economy as investment in iron-ore, coal and natural gas slumped, while at the same time the Australian government pledged to return the budget surplus during the upcoming election year.

RBA lowered Australia`s growth estimates to a range of 2.25% to 3.25% in 2013, compared with August estimates of 2.75% to 3.25%. Consumer Price index is expected to climb 2% to 3% during the year ending December 2013.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard stood by forecasts for the budget to return to A$44 billion ($46 billion) surplus during the second half of the year, adding that RBA cut the nation’s overnight cash rate target by 1.5% since 2011 in order to support the nation’s construction and mining sectors.

At the same time, it’s expected that Australia`s central bank will cut interest rate during the upcoming period as global economic improvement is absent presently.

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