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Why U.S. energy bills are expected to keep rising

Economies.com
2025-11-07 19:27PM UTC

Democratic promises to lower energy costs helped deliver a comfortable win in last Tuesday’s elections, as several party candidates pledged to freeze utility rates. Democrats also captured seats on Georgia’s Public Service Commission for the first time in nearly two decades — a sharp rebuke to regulators who had approved six electricity rate hikes over the past two years.

 

As a result, customers of Georgia Power now pay an average of $516 more per year than they did two years ago. But Georgia is not an isolated case: electricity price hikes have become a hot political issue nationwide, with over 60% of Americans saying utility bills are one of their main financial burdens.

 

After years of relative stability, U.S. electricity prices have surged, adding to the financial strain of millions already struggling with inflation. Since 2021, electricity prices have jumped 36%, an average annual increase of nearly 7% — three times higher than the 12% rise seen between 2009 and 2020.

 

Yet the surprise, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), is that prices are likely to keep climbing. The agency projects that residential electricity rates will reach 17.7 cents per kilowatt-hour by 2026, up from 16 cents in 2024.

 

Soaring demand: the core driver behind the rise

 

Behind these increases lies what the EIA calls a “chaos dynamic” — a sudden and sustained surge in electricity demand.

 

After nearly 14 years of stagnant consumption growth (from 2008 to 2021, averaging just 0.1% annually), U.S. electricity demand jumped 3% in 2024 — the fifth-largest yearly increase this century.

 

This spike is largely driven by the rapid expansion of new data centers across regions managed by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and the PJM Interconnection system.

 

A 2023 report by Grid Strategies titled *“The Era of Flat Power Demand Is Over”* noted that U.S. grid planners — from utilities to regional transmission organizations (RTOs) — have nearly doubled their five-year growth forecasts.

 

For the first time in decades, nationwide electricity demand is expected to rise as much as 15% over the next ten years, fueled by:

 

* The proliferation of AI-driven data centers

* Electrification of transport and heating

* Expansion of battery manufacturing

* Industrial incentives for semiconductor and advanced technology production

 

The Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) estimates that data centers could consume up to 9% of total U.S. electricity by the end of this decade — up from roughly 1.5% today — due to the energy-intensive nature of generative AI.

 

Heavy reliance on natural gas adds further pressure

 

Alongside the demand boom, America’s heavy dependence on natural gas for power generation has left it vulnerable to rising energy costs.

 

Natural gas now accounts for 40% of the nation’s electricity mix. Over the past year, benchmark Henry Hub prices surged about 60% to $4.33 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

 

The EIA expects prices to climb further, reaching $4.90 per MMBtu in 2026 versus $4.00 in 2025, driven by robust demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and slowing domestic production growth.

 

U.S. LNG export capacity is projected to rise roughly 75% by 2030 based on currently approved projects — from around 17 billion cubic feet per day today to about 30 billion cubic feet per day by the end of the decade.

 

A coming LNG surplus may ease prices longer-term

 

Despite short-term price pressures, the rapid expansion of U.S. LNG output could eventually help reduce costs.

 

TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné recently warned of a looming oversupply of U.S. LNG, following NextDecade Corp.’s final investment decision (FID) on Train 4 of its Rio Grande LNG project in Texas — which will bring the facility’s total planned capacity to 48 million tons per year.

 

Pouyanné said the U.S. is building “too many” liquefaction plants, potentially creating a long-term glut if all projects proceed as scheduled.

 

Train 4 alone will add about 6 million tons of annual capacity, bringing the total under construction to 24 million tons. NextDecade also said Train 5 is nearing an FID, while Trains 6 through 8 remain in development and permitting stages.

 

The construction cost of Train 4 is estimated at around $6.7 billion, financed 40% through equity and 60% through debt, with TotalEnergies holding a 10% stake in the project.

Wall Street declines amid concerns about US economy, tech valuation

Economies.com
2025-11-07 17:02PM UTC

Major Wall Street indexes extended losses for a second straight session on Friday, heading for weekly declines as mounting concerns over the economy and stretched valuations in technology stocks weighed on investor sentiment.

 

The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell nearly 2% on Thursday after top Wall Street executives warned earlier in the week that the market could be approaching a sharp correction.

 

Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average appeared on track for their largest weekly losses in four weeks, while the Nasdaq was heading for its worst week since March.

 

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said: “There’s a lingering sense of unease about a potential market pullback… This is typical seasonal weakness in early November, fueled by high valuations and a lack of fresh catalysts to lift markets higher.”

 

The AI-driven rally that propelled equities to record highs this year has started to fade, as doubts grow over the tech sector’s ability to generate sustainable profits from artificial intelligence, and as intra-sector spending cycles drain enthusiasm for US stocks.

 

Tech shares led the decline, with Nvidia falling 2.8% and Broadcom sliding 2.2%. Both the information technology sector and the semiconductor index were on pace for their steepest weekly losses in seven months.

 

At 10:01 a.m. Eastern Time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 138.50 points, or 0.30%, to 46,773.80. The S&P 500 lost 46.63 points (0.69%) to 6,673.69, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 278.31 points (1.21%) to 22,775.68.

 

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) — known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge” — climbed to its highest level in over two weeks.

 

Meanwhile, Tesla shareholders approved the largest compensation package in history for CEO Elon Musk, though Tesla shares fell 3.3% amid the broader market selloff, putting additional pressure on the consumer discretionary sector.

 

Earnings data from LSEG showed that, as of Thursday, 83% of the 424 S&P 500 companies that had reported results beat Wall Street expectations — the highest rate of positive surprises since the second quarter of 2021.

 

Expedia shares surged 16%, leading the S&P 500, after the company raised its full-year revenue growth forecast and posted stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings.

 

**Economic concerns persist**

 

The longest government shutdown in US history has created a major data void at a time when Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over the future of interest rates, while private-sector indicators continue to paint a mixed picture of the economy.

 

Kevin Hassett, White House economic adviser, told Fox Business that the economic impact of the shutdown had been “far worse than expected.”

 

Separately, the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index dropped to 50.3 this month, below analysts’ estimates of 53.2, according to a Reuters poll.

 

Stovall added: “The question now is whether this shutdown will deepen the slowdown in the US economy. There’s a high degree of uncertainty — it’s not just the Fed flying blind, but also the American consumer and investor.”

 

Elsewhere, shares of Block fell 10.5% after the company missed quarterly profit expectations, while Take-Two Interactive slid 6.6% following news that the release of *Grand Theft Auto VI* had been delayed to November 2026.

 

On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by a ratio of 1.29 to 1, while on the Nasdaq the ratio stood at 1.99 to 1.

 

The S&P 500 recorded eight new 52-week highs and ten new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite posted 18 new highs and 211 new lows.

Copper inches down as traders assess Chinese demand data

Economies.com
2025-11-07 14:45PM UTC

Copper prices rose on the London Metal Exchange (LME) during Friday’s session but later turned flat to slightly negative in US trading hours, as investors weighed demand prospects following data showing a decline in China’s copper imports.

 

The most actively traded copper contract on the LME gained 0.3% to $10,712 per ton as of 3:01 p.m. Mecca time.

 

Despite this uptick, prices remain down about 4% since hitting an all-time high above $11,200 per ton on October 29.

 

According to government data released Friday, China’s copper imports fell 9.7% month-over-month to 438,000 tons in October, as buyers pulled back amid surging prices for the red industrial metal.

 

On the supply side, US-based Freeport-McMoRan announced in a regulatory filing that its Indonesian subsidiary has resumed operations at two mines within the Grasberg complex following a temporary suspension.

 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index slipped 0.2% to 99.5 by 14:33 GMT, after touching a session high of 99.8 and a low of 99.5.

 

In US trading, December copper futures edged down less than 0.1% to $4.96 per pound as of 14:20 GMT.

Bitcoin stabilizes while heading for sharp weekly losses

Economies.com
2025-11-07 11:58AM UTC

Bitcoin fell on Friday, heading for a steep weekly loss as a global selloff in technology stocks dampened risk appetite and drove investors away from cryptocurrencies.

 

The world’s largest digital asset is on track for its second consecutive weekly decline and has fallen in four of the past five weeks, with crypto markets struggling to recover from a lackluster October performance.

 

Bitcoin slipped 0.8% to $102,294.3 by 00:23 Eastern Time (05:23 GMT). The token officially entered a bear market this week after dropping more than 20% from its record high reached in early October.

 

Bitcoin heads for weekly losses amid broader risk-off sentiment

 

Bitcoin has fallen roughly 8% this week, marking its second straight weekly decline.

 

The pullback came as the wave of selling that began in high-risk assets — particularly tech stocks — spread to cryptocurrencies. Mounting concerns over inflated tech valuations triggered a broad market selloff that later extended to other sectors.

 

Lingering economic uncertainty has also weighed on sentiment, as the ongoing US government shutdown continues to disrupt large parts of the economy and delay key data releases.

 

Private-sector employment data on Thursday showed a sharp rise in layoffs during October, boosting market expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates again at its next meeting in December.

 

Trump: “We want America to be a Bitcoin superpower”

 

US President Donald Trump said earlier this week that he wants the United States to embrace Bitcoin and its related technologies more broadly, calling for American leadership in the crypto space.

 

Trump stated that his administration had introduced several pro-crypto measures, claiming that the US has “ended its regulatory war” against digital assets.

 

“We’re turning the United States into the great Bitcoin power — the global capital of cryptocurrency,” Trump said, adding that his goal is to ensure America maintains its edge over China in this field.

 

His administration has announced a number of supportive initiatives this year, including the creation of a national cryptocurrency reserve and a regulatory framework for stablecoins, though it has avoided any direct purchases of digital assets.

 

Other cryptocurrencies post muted performance and weekly losses

 

Altcoins traded in a narrow, downward range on Friday, also recording weekly losses in line with the broader risk-off tone.

 

Ether (ETH) — the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency — slipped 0.9% to $3,357, extending its weekly drop to more than 13% after hitting its lowest level since mid-July earlier in the week.

 

XRP declined 4.1% and about 11% for the week, while Binance Coin (BNB) rose 1.9% on Friday but remained down roughly 12% over the week.