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US durable goods orders rise past estimates

Economies.com
2023-01-26 13:49PM UTC

US durable goods orders rose 5.6% in November, beating estimates of 2.4%, and improving from October's 2.1% decline.

 

Core orders, excluding transportation, fell 0.1%, beating estimates of a 0.2% dip, and below October's 0.1% rise. 

US unemployment claims plumb nine-month lows

Economies.com
2023-01-26 13:43PM UTC

US unemployment claims tumbled to 181 thousand in the week ending January 21, the slowest since last April, and below estimates of 203 thousand, while also down from 192 thousand in the previous reading. 

US economy grows more than expected in the fourth quarter

Economies.com
2023-01-26 13:40PM UTC

US economy grew 2.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022, beating estimates of 2.6%, while up from 3.2% in the third quarter. 

Dollar holds above eight-month low ahead of US growth data

Economies.com
2023-01-26 12:25PM UTC

Dollar rose in European trade against a basket of major rivals, holding above eight-month lows amid improving demand on the greenback from low levels. 

 

It comes ahead of important US growth data for 2022's fourth quarter, which will provide important clues on the pace of policy tightening next week. 

 

The Index

 

The dollar index rose 0.3% to 101.85, with the lowest since May 2022 at 101.50, after losing 0.3% yesterday, the second loss in a row on current pricing for Fed rates. 

 

Fed Rates

 

Pricing for a 0.25% rate hike by the Federal Reserve in February stands at 100%, slowing it down from recent 0.5% rate hikes.

 

Growth Data

 

Markets are awaiting US GDP growth data before taking positions, with weak data forcing the Fed to slow down its pace of policy tightening, in turn weakening the greenback.

 

US GDP growth is expected at 2.6% in the fourth quarter, slowing down from 3.2% in the third quarter of 2022.