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US dollar climbs as trade tensions continue to cool

Economies.com
2025-05-16 19:16PM UTC

The US dollar rose against most major rivals on Friday as the US-China trade tensions continued to calm down.

 

Even as the US reached a preliminary trade deal with China, concerns remain about the high tariffs and their impact on corporations.

 

From his side, Fed Chair Powell warned against the increasing likelihood of supply shocks and subsequent high prices, and added the bank will adjust its outlook to accommodate such changes.

 

JPMorgan CEO Jimmie Damon also warned that recession risks remain for the US economy amid the ongoing impact of the tariffs on the global economy.

 

According to the University of Michigan’s survey, the US consumer confidence index fell to 50.8 in May from 52.2 in April.

 

Otherwise, the dollar index rose 0.2% as of 19:50 GMT to 101.08, with a session-high at 101.2, and a low at 100.5.

 

Aussie

 

The AUD/USD price fell 0.1% as of 20:14 GMT to $0.6406.

 

Loonie

 

The Canadian dollar fell 0.2% against its US counterpart to $0.7151.

Gold declines and marks a 5% weekly loss

Economies.com
2025-05-16 19:03PM UTC

Gold prices fell on Friday as the dollar rose against most major rivals while trade tensions cooled as investors shunned off the safe haven.

 

US two-year treasury yields fell by 3.9 basis points to 3.934%, while 10-year note yields fell by 6.1 basis points to 4.394%, as 30-year note yields fell by 6 basis to 4.861%.

 

Even as the US reached a preliminary trade deal with China, concerns remain about the high tariffs and their impact on corporations.

 

From his side, Fed Chair Powell warned against the increasing likelihood of supply shocks and subsequent high prices, and added the bank will adjust its outlook to accommodate such changes.

 

JPMorgan CEO Jimmie Damon also warned that recession risks remain for the US economy amid the ongoing impact of the tariffs on the global economy.

 

Otherwise, the dollar index rose 0.2% as of 19:50 GMT to 101.08, with a session-high at 101.2, and a low at 100.5.

 

On trading, gold spot prices fell 1.2% as of 19:50 GMT to $3189.4 an ounce, with a weekly loss of 4.7%.

Wall Street gains some ground in early trading

Economies.com
2025-05-16 13:40PM UTC

Most US stock indices gained ground on Friday as recession concerns receded and US-China trade tensions continued to cool.

 

US two-year treasury yields fell by 3.9 basis points to 3.934%, while 10-year note yields fell by 6.1 basis points to 4.394%, as 30-year note yields fell by 6 basis points to 4.861%.

 

Despite the temporary US-China trade agreement, concerns remain about high tariffs and their impact on local US businesses.

 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned against the increasing likelihood of supply shocks and higher prices in upcoming years, asserting the Fed will readjust its outlook to accommodate such changes.

 

JPMorgan CEO Jimmy Damon stated that recession risks remain for the US due to the ongoing impact of tariffs.

 

On trading, Dow Jones fell 0.1% as of 17:38 GMT, or 74 points to 422,48 points, while S&P 500 rose 0.1%, or 3 points to 5919 points, as NASDAQ added 0.1% to 19,138 points.

Oil on track for mild weekly gains, but remains under oversupply pressures

Economies.com
2025-05-16 13:31PM UTC

Oil prices were unchanged on Friday amid increasing pressures on the supply side with OPEC+ raising output and with the prospects of a US nuclear deal with Iran, however, prices headed towards the second weekly profit in a row as US-China trade tensions receded.

 

Brent futures rose by 9 cents to $64.62 a barrel, while US West Texas futures rose by 6 cents to $61.68 a barrel.

 

Both contracts lost over 2% in the previous session on prospects of a nuclear deal with Iran.

 

US President Donald Trump said the US is close to making a nuclear deal with Iran, with Tehran “sort of” agreeing to his conditions. 

 

ING analysts wrote in a memo that reaching a nuclear deal would reduce supply risks and allow Iran to raise oil output and find buyers more readily, likely increasing supplies by nearly 400,000 thousand bpd.

 

Both Brent US crude futures managed to rise 0.6% this week despite the strong pressures, boosted after the US and China agreed to pause most tariffs for 90 days and engage in negotiations.

 

BMI analysts maintained their forecasts for Brent prices at $68 a barrel in 2025, and $71 in 2026, down from $80 in 2024.

 

The International Energy Agency now expects a growth of 380,000 thousand bpd in global supplies in 2025 as Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members scale back production cuts.

 

Investors also monitor signals of a potential Fed rate cut soon, which would boost growth and fuel demand.

 

Earlier this week, official EIA data showed US crude stocks rose more than expected last week, raising demand concerns.