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UK inflation jumps to record highs in July

Economies.com
2022-08-17 11:31AM UTC

UK consumer prices jumped 10.1% in July, a record high since records began 1989, and beating estimates of 9.8%, and up from 9.4% in the previous reading. 

 

Core prices, excluding food and energy rose 6.2%, also beating estimates of 5.9%, and up from 5.8% in the previous reading. 

Oil prices gain ground as dollar dips ahead of US inventory data

Economies.com
2022-08-17 06:40AM UTC

Oil futures rose nearly 1% in Asian trade with US crude off January 26 lows, while Brent climbed from February 18 lows, as the dollar index backed off July 28 highs. 

 

It comes ahead of a batch of US data that include US crude inventory data, that might show a surplus of 0.3 million barrels last week, adding to a 5.5 million increase in the previous reading. 

 

As of 06:07 GMT, US crude futures due in September rose 0.56% to $87.59 a barrel, while Brent futures rose 0.64% to $93.36 a barrel, as the dollar index shed 0.07% to 106.38. 

 

From the US, retail sales are expected up 0.1%, slowing down from 1% in June, while core sales are expected down 0.1%. 

 

Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman is due to speak about technology, innovation, and financial services at the VenCent Fintech Conference, in Arkansas, later today. 

 

 

The Fed will also release its last meeting's minutes, at which it hiked interest rates by 75 basis points from 1.75% to 2.50% as expected. 

 

Two-year and five-year treasury yields curves remain reversed, in an ominous sign for an upcoming depression in the US economy.

 

Otherwise, a party of US lawmakers have arrived at Taiwan to discuss relations with Taiwanese government and investments.

 

China continues to condemn such moves and developing relations between US and Taiwan, and has already begun threatening military actions around Taiwan as a threat.

 

Otherwise, China continues to face a very stubborn Covid 19 wave that continues to impede growth, with World Health Organization reporting 585.05 million global infections worldwide so far, with the death toll at 6.425 million.

 

Baker Hughes data showed US oil rigs rose by 3 to 601 rigs, while rising in July for the 24th month in a row, with US output stabilizing at 12.1 million bpd, the highest since April 2020.

 

US output remains down a million bpd, or 8% from record highs at 13.1 million bpd in March 2020.

Dow Jones climbs to near 34 thousand points

Economies.com
2022-08-16 14:27PM UTC

US stock indices were mixed on Tuesday as traders assess fresh quarterly results from major corporations. 

 

Earlier US data showed industrial output rose for the first time in three months by 0.7% in July after a 0.4% drop in June. 

 

Walmart reported forecast-beating quarterly profits and earnings during the second quarter. 

 

Dow Jones rose 0.2% to 33,990 as of 14:25 GMT, while NASDAQ fell 0.8% to 13,020, as S&P 500 fell 0.2% to 4,288. 

Euro declines to two-week lows on economic recession concerns

Economies.com
2022-08-16 09:50AM UTC

Euro declined in European against dollar for third straight session, marking two-week lows amid risk aversion and concerns about global deceleration.

 

Such ominous slowing down of economic growth would hamper the ECB's policy plans, and hurt euro's standing. 

 

EUR/USD fell 0.35% to 1.0125, after falling 1% yesterday, the second loss in a row following disappointing Chinese data. 

 

Global Recession

 

Earlier US data showed factory orders slowed down sharply in New York to two-year lows, while housing markets declined as well to 2020 lows. 

 

Chinese data showed the economy slowed down more than expected in July, in turn triggering concerns about global growth prospects this year. 

 

Growth Risks

 

Europe continues to face growth risks in regards to its energy crisis and low natural gas supplies from Russia, which will increase pressure on the euro. 

 

It might force the European Central Bank to slow down its pace of policy tightening compared to the Federal Reserve's, in turn weakening euro against the greenback.