Euro hits fresh six-month highs against dollar
1 month ago

Euro rose in European trade for the fourth straight session against dollar, hitting fresh six-month highs as concerns about a widening policy gap between the US and Europe fade. 


Dollar extended its decline after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent statements about slowing down the pace of rate hikes starting from December. 


EUR/USD rose over 0.4% to 1.0584, the highest since June , after closing up 0.15% on Friday, the third profit in a row as risk appetite dominated markets. 


Euro rallied 1.4% last week against dollar, the second weekly profit in a row. 


European Rates


The financial markets are now expecting the European Central Bank to increase rates by 75 basis points in December instead of 50. 


There are strong recent incentives for the ECB to do such move according to many analysts, while the Federal Reserve is only expected to hike rates by 50 basis points this month.


The Dollar


The dollar index fell 0.4% on Monday, deepening losses for the fourth straight session and plumbing six-month low at 104.11 against a basket of major rivals. 


Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a much more bearish chord in recent statements, noting the Fed will slow down its pace of policy tightening in upcoming meetings. 


After such statements, chances of a 0.50% rate hike by the Fed rose from 67.5% to 80%, then 82% now, while chances of a 0.75% rate hike fell from 32.5% to 18% currently. 

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