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Dollar on track for weekly losses on Fed rates

Economies.com
2022-11-25 11:14AM UTC

Dollar fell in European trade on Friday against a basket of major rivals, extending the gains for the fourth day in a row, and almost hitting three-month lows, and on track for the second weekly loss in three weeks following weak US data and the release of Fed's minutes. 

 

Such Fed minutes clearly bolstered the case for a 0.5% rate hike in December and a slower pace of policy tightening.

 

The Index

 

The dollar index fell 0.25% to 105.68, with a session-high at 106.16, after closing down 0.2% yesterday, the third loss in a row, edging near three-month lows at 105.34. 

 

Dollar is now down 1.2% so far this week on track for the second weekly loss in three weeks. 

 

Weak Data

 

Recent US data showed manufacturing and services activities tumbled heavily in November, hinting at potential economic recession in the fourth quarter of the year.

 

The Fed

 

Fed's minutes released for the November 1-2 meeting showed most policymakers agreed it's important to slow down the pace of policy tightening.

 

Fed Minutes

 

Chances for a 0.5% rate hike in December by the Fed rose from 75% to 85% after Fed's minutes, while chances for a 0.75% rate hike fell from 25% to 15%.

Gold maintains gains amid calm trading

Economies.com
2022-11-25 08:31AM UTC

Gold prices rose in European trade on Friday while maintaining gains for the fourth day in a row, amid calm trading in markets due to the US holiday, and amid weak trading by the dollar against major rivals following the release of Fed's minutes. 

 

Such Fed minutes clearly bolstered the case for a 0.5% rate hike in December and a slower pace of policy tightening. 

 

Prices Today

 

Gold prices rose 0.35% to $1,761 an ounce, with a session-low at $1,750, after closing up 0.35% yesterday, the third profit in a row as the dollar lost ground against rivals.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index last traded near three-month lows at 105.34 against a basket of major rivals. 

 

Latest Federal Reserve minutes showed US policymakers are content about their ability to move forward and raise interest rates in a slower place. 

 

Recent US data showed manufacturing and services activities tumbled heavily in November, hinting at potential economic recession in the fourth quarter of the year. 

 

The Fed

 

Fed's minutes released for the November 1-2 meeting showed most  policymakers agreed it's important to slow down the pace of policy tightening. 

 

Fed Minutes

 

Chances for a 0.5% rate hike in December by the Fed rose from 75% to 85% after Fed's minutes, while chances for a 0.75% rate hike fell from 25% to 15%. 

 

Estimates 

 

Analysts expect gold prices to face stiff technical resistance at $1,757 and potentially head lower after that. 

 

The SPDR

 

Gold holdings at the SPDR Gold Trust remained flat yesterday for the second day in a row at a total of 906.93 tones, the highest since November 14. 

Euro maintains gains near four-month highs against dollar

Economies.com
2022-11-25 07:43AM UTC

Euro rose in European trade against dollar for the fourth straight session, almost hitting four-month highs amid fading concerns about the policy gap between Europe and the US. 

 

The greenback is trading near three-month lows under pressure from Fed's minutes, which bolstered the case for a 0.5% rate hike in December.

 

EUR/USD rose 0.2% to 1.0428, after closing up 0.15% yesterday, the third profit in a row as risk appetite improves in the market. 

 

Euro is up over 1% so far this week against dollar on track for the second weekly profit in three weeks. 

 

Euro hit four-month highs at 1.0481 earlier this month before entering a wave of losses on active profit-taking. 

 

Current gains come amid fading concerns about the policy gap between the US and Europe, with the ECB expected to raise rates by 75 basis points in December. 

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index last traded near three-month lows at 105.34 against a basket of major rivals. 

 

Latest Federal Reserve minutes showed US policymakers are content about their ability to move forward and raise interest rates in a slower place. 

Oil extends losses as Chinese Covid 19 infections mount

Economies.com
2022-11-24 16:40PM UTC

Oil prices fell on Thursday despite calm trading with US crude extending losses as Covid 19 infections spread in China.

 

Chinese authorities extended its range of restrictions and closures on major cities, including Shanghai. 

 

Health authorities also recorded over 33 thousand infections in a single day in China, the world's largest crude oil consumer. 

 

However markets remain mostly calm amid the Thanksgiving holiday, as US markets close, both bonds and stocks.

 

For the time being investors will assess latest Fed statements and the latest meeting minutes to gauge next steps. 

 

US crude futures due in January fell 0.3% to $77.7 a barrel as of 16:23 GMT. 

 

Brent January futures fell 0.8% to $84.7 a barrel.