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Dollar extends gains even after disappointing Chinese data

Economies.com
2022-08-15 12:48PM UTC

Dollar rose in European trade for another session against major rivals away from six-week lows, amid haven demand after disappointing Chinese data.

 

Investors await important US economic data this week, in addition to the Fed's last meeting minutes to gauge the path forward in monetary policy.

 

The Index

 

The dollar index rose over 0.6% to 106.35, after rising 0.5% on Friday, the first profit in five days off six-week lows at 104.63. 

 

The index lost 0.35% last week, the third weekly loss in a month after data showed US inflation slowed down in July. 

 

Chinese data

 

From China, industrial output rose 3.8% in July, slowing down from 3.9% in June, and missing estimates of 4.5%.

 

China's retail sales rose 2.7%, missing estimates of 5% heavily, and down from 3.1% in the previous reading.

 

The People's Bank of China earlier cut interest rates unexpectedly, on one-year lending rates to certain loans by 10 basis points to 2.75%.

 

US Data

 

Investors await US retail sales data later this week, in addition to the Fed's meeting minutes, to gather clues about the economy's health in the third quarter. 

Euro backs off five-week high on European growth risks

Economies.com
2022-08-15 09:45AM UTC

Euro fell in European trade for another session off five-eek highs on active profit-taking, amid mounting risks about European growth and after an interest rate cut in China.

 

Dollar is also gaining considerable ground following disappointing Chinese data, which cast doubt on the overall performance of the global economy. 

 

EUR/USD fell 0.6% to 1.0192, after losing 0.6% against dollar, the first loss in five days, off five-week highs at 1.0369 on profit-taking. 

 

Euro maintained a 0.8% profit last week against dollar, the third weekly profit in a month. 

 

Growth Risks

 

Analysts continue to doubt economic growth prospects in Europe as energy supplies collapse due to the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, in turn hurting euro's standing. 

 

The People's Bank of China earlier cut interest rates unexpectedly, on one-year lending rates to certain loans by 10 basis points to 2.75%.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index rose over 0.6% on Monday for another session against a basket of major rivals. 

 

A batch of weak Chinese industrial data boosted haven demand on the greenback, ahead of important US retail sales data and the Fed's minutes. 

Oil prices decline 1% as dollar climbs after disappointing Chinese data

Economies.com
2022-08-15 06:34AM UTC

Oil futures fell 1% in Asian trade off August 3 highs as the dollar index climbed from June 29 lows, following earlier Chinese data that was quire disappointing. 

 

Markets also continue to assess the ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, which might open the way for Iranian crude exports worldwide. 

 

OPEC recently expected global oil demand in 2022 to grow by 3.1 million bpd to nearly 100 million bpd, cutting off 260 thousand bpd from calculation.

 

As of 06:10 GMT, US crude futures due in September fell 1.03% to $91.00 a barrel, while Brent October futures fell 0.80% to $96.98 a barrel, as the dollar index rose 0.13% to 105.80.

 

From China, industrial output rose 3.8% in July, slowing down from 3.9% in June, and missing estimates of 4.5%. 

 

China's retail sales rose 2.7%, missing estimates of 5% heavily, and down from 3.1% in the previous reading. 

 

The People's Bank of China earlier cut interest rates unexpectedly, on one-year lending rates to certain loans by 10 basis points to 2.75%.

 

From the US, the Empire State Manufacturing index is expected down to 5.1 in August from 11.1 in July. 

 

Two-year and five-year treasury yields curves remain reversed, in an ominous sign for an upcoming depression in the US economy. 

 

Otherwise, a party of US lawmakers have arrived at Taiwan to discuss relations with Taiwanese government and investments.

 

China continues to condemn such moves and developing relations between US and Taiwan, and has already begun threatening military actions around Taiwan as a threat. 

 

Otherwise, China continues to face a very stubborn Covid 19 wave that continues to impede growth, with World Health Organization reporting 585.05 million global infections worldwide so far, with the death toll at 6.425 million.

 

Baker Hughes data showed US oil rigs rose by 3 to 601 rigs, while rising in July for the 24th month in a row, with US output stabilizing at 12.1 million bpd, the highest since April 2020.

 

US output remains down a million bpd, or 8% from record highs at 13.1 million bpd in March 2020. 

Wall Street climbs on track for weekly gains

Economies.com
2022-08-12 14:23PM UTC

US stock indices rose on Friday on steady track for weekly gains. 

 

US consumer prices earlier this week showed a slowdown in the pace of inflation during July.

 

Thus bets have now shifted from a 0.75% rate hike by the Fed at the next meeting to actually 0.5%.

 

Dow Jones rose 0.4% to 33,465 as of 14:20 GMT, while S&P 500 rose 0.7% to 4,236, as NASDAQ rose 1.1% to 12,914.