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Dollar approaches two-month high after aggressive Fed remarks

Economies.com
2023-05-23 12:17PM UTC

Dollar rose in European trade for a second session against a basket of major rivals, almost touching two-month highs as US 10-year treasury yields spike.

 

Such gains came following bullish remarks by Fed officials, which bolstered the case for a 0.25% Fed rate hike June and hurt chances of early rate cuts this year. 

 

Now investors await a batch of important US data later today, which might bolster dollar's gains.

 

The Index

 

The dollar index rose 0.4% to 103.61, with a session-low at 103.16. 

 

The index rose 0.1% yesterday, resuming gains after a pause on Friday away from two-month highs at 103.62. 

 

US Yields

 

US 10-year treasury yields rose 0.9% on Tuesday for the eighth straight session, hitting two-month highs at 3.753%, bolstering dollar's appeal. 

 

Bullish Remarks 

 

Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari said that US interest rates might move above 6% for inflation to fall below 2%, while Saint Louis Fed President James Bullard said the Fed might need to raise interest rates by another 0.5% this year.

 

Fed Rates

 

Such remarks boosted chances of a Fed 0.25% rate hike in June from 13% to 30%.

 

Major Sectors

 

Now investors await some important US data, including the manufacturing PMI, is expected down to 50.0 this month from 50.2 in April, while the services PMI is expected at 52.6, down from 53.6 last month. 

Gold hovers near six-week trough as dollar heaps pressure

Economies.com
2023-05-23 10:47AM UTC

Gold prices declined in European trade for a second session, almost touching six-week lows under pressure from the stronger dollar against major rivals. 

 

Recent bullish remarks by Fed officials raised prospects of a 0.25% Fed rate hike in June and hurt chances of early rate cuts this year.

 

Prices Today

 

Gold prices fell 0.9% to $1,954 an ounce, with a session-high at $1,972, after losing 0.3% yesterday, resuming losses and hovering near six-week lows at $1,952. 

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index rose 0.3% on Tuesday for the second session, almost hitting two-month highs at 103.62 against a basket of major rivals. 

 

Dollar is gaining ground and demand as an alternative investment, making dollar-denominated gold futures costlier to holders of other currencies.

 

Fed Remarks 

 

Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari said that US interest rates might move above 6% for inflation to fall below 2%, while Saint Louis Fed President James Bullard said the Fed might need to raise interest rates by another 0.5% this year.

 

Such remarks boosted chances of a Fed 0.25% rate hike in June from 13% to 30%.

 

Debt Ceiling Talks

 

US President Joe Biden and top Congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy didn't reach a compromise on the debt ceiling crisis, with negotiations still ongoing to avoid a catastrophic default. 

 

The SPDR 

 

Gold holdings at the SPDR Gold Trust rose 1.15 tones yesterday, the second increase in a row to 943.89 tones, the highest since October 13. 

Sterling hovers near three-week low ahead of major UK data

Economies.com
2023-05-23 08:06AM UTC

Sterling declined in European trade against a basket of major rivals, extending losses for the second day against dollar and almost hitting three-week lows ahead of important UK data and a hearing session in parliament about Bank of England's monetary policy report. 

 

The greenback headed to two-month highs anew following bullish remarks by Fed officials, which renewed prospects of a 0.25% rate hike in June.

 

GBP/USD fell 0.3% to 1.2401, with a session-high at 1.2447, after losing 0.1% yesterday, resuming losses after a recovery yesterday from three-week lows at 1.2391.

 

Major Sectors

 

A batch of important data on major UK sectors will be released today, which will help determine the chances of upcoming  interest rates hikes by Bank of England in June. 

 

Hearing Sessions

 

And later today, the UK Parliament is holding a hearing session on Bank of England's monetary policy report, which will again include important clues on the path ahead for UK policies and interest rates.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index rose 0.2% on Tuesday for another session, almost hitting two-month highs at 103.62 against a basket of major rivals. 

 

A batch of bullish remarks by Fed officials bolstered the case for another interest rate hike in the US at the June 13-14 meeting.

 

Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari said that US interest rates might move above 6% for inflation to fall below 2%, while Saint Louis Fed President James Bullard said the Fed might need to raise interest rates by another 0.5% this year. 

 

Such remarks boosted chances of a Fed 0.25% rate hike in June from 13% to 30%. 

Oil advances, Brent approaches $76 a barrel

Economies.com
2023-05-22 20:16PM UTC

Oil prices rose on Monday as supplies declines and amid expectations of increasing demand. 

 

JPMorgan's analysts say that total OPEC+ crude exports have fallen by 1.7 million bpd in May, while Russian crude exports are expected to fall by late May.

 

Conversely, the International Energy Agency expects the demand to outstrip supplies by nearly 2 million bpd this year. 

 

Oil gains were curbed today by a stronger dollar, following some bullish remarks by Fed officials, while US debt ceiling talks resume in Washington. 

 

IEA head Faith Peroll warned from the possibility of US default on debt, which might hurt fuel demand and crash prices, although it remains unlikely. 

 

Otherwise, OPEC General Secretary Haitham Al Gheis said the world should focus on cutting down green house gases instead of replacing one form of energy with another, noting that low investments in the oil and gas sectors will hurt growth in the long term.

 

On trading, Brent July futures rose 0.5%, or 41 cents to $75.99 a barrel away from a session-low at $74.55. 

 

US crude futures due in June rose 0.6%, or 44 cents to $71.99 a barrel at close.