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Surprising Bank of England vote tally

Economies.com
2025-08-07 11:38AM UTC
AI Summary
  • Bank of England vote showed 5 members in favor of rate cut, surprising markets
  • Market expectations were for 8 members to support a rate cut
  • The outcome may indicate a more divided opinion among Bank of England members than previously thought

The Bank of England on Thursday released details of the interest rate vote following the August 7 meeting, showing that 5 members voted in favor of a 25 basis point rate cut, while 4 members voted to keep rates unchanged.

 

The vote outcome contradicted market expectations, which had anticipated that 8 members would support a 25 basis point cut, with only one member voting to hold rates steady.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BOE cuts interest rates to 2023 lows

Economies.com
2025-08-07 11:35AM UTC

The Bank of England on Thursday announced its interest rate decision following the August 7 meeting, cutting rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00% — the lowest level since February 2023. The move was in line with market expectations and marks the third rate cut by the Bank of England this year.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oil prices stabilize on prospects of Trump-Putin summit soon

Economies.com
2025-08-07 11:10AM UTC

Oil prices held steady on Thursday after paring early gains, following a Kremlin announcement that Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet with US President Donald Trump in the coming days, boosting hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the war in Ukraine.

 

Brent crude futures rose by 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $67.10 per barrel by 09:02 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 20 cents, or 0.3%, to $64.55.

 

Both benchmarks had fallen nearly 1% on Wednesday, hitting eight-week lows after Trump stated that progress had been made in talks with Moscow. Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov confirmed Thursday that Trump and Putin will meet in the coming days — their first summit since 2021.

 

A White House official had previously said that Trump could meet Putin as early as next week, as the US continues preparing secondary sanctions — potentially including measures against China — to increase pressure on Moscow to end the war in Ukraine.

 

Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS, noted: “Oil prices saw a modest rise, supported by falling US inventories, stronger Saudi pricing to Asia, and robust Chinese crude imports in July.” However, he added that “gains were capped by news of a potential Trump-Putin summit next week.”

 

Russia remains the world’s second-largest oil producer, after the United States.

 

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Wednesday that US crude inventories fell by 3 million barrels to 423.7 million barrels in the week ending August 1 — a drop that exceeded analysts’ expectations of a 591,000-barrel decline, according to a Reuters poll.

 

In China, crude oil imports dropped by 5.4% in July compared to June but were up 11.5% year-over-year. Analysts expect refinery activity to remain strong in the near term.

 

Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, raised its official selling prices for crude to Asian buyers for September delivery — the second consecutive monthly increase — citing tight supply and strong demand.

 

However, broader macroeconomic uncertainty limited price gains after the US imposed a new round of tariffs on Indian goods. On Wednesday, Trump announced an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, citing continued purchases of Russian oil. These new tariffs are set to take effect on August 28.

 

Trump also signaled that additional tariffs on China could follow.

 

 

US dollar retreats to 10-day trough as tariffs get into effect

Economies.com
2025-08-07 11:03AM UTC

The US dollar continued its decline against major currencies on Thursday, as growing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve combined with rising concerns over partisan divisions creeping into key American institutions.

 

Initial jobless claims in the US are under scrutiny after last week’s disappointing employment data, which contributed to the dollar’s weakness. In contrast, the euro found support ahead of expected peace talks next week to end the war between Russia and Ukraine.

 

Last week, President Donald Trump dismissed the official responsible for labor market data he found unsatisfactory. Market attention is now focused on his nominee to fill an upcoming vacancy on the Fed’s Board of Governors, as well as the list of potential candidates to succeed the current Fed chair.

 

Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, commented: “All of this points to mounting political risk surrounding the US dollar, in addition to the recent string of weak economic indicators.”

 

He added: “Any breakthrough in ending the war in Ukraine would be a positive catalyst for the euro.”

 

The dollar index — which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of major currencies — rose 0.1% to 98.259 in early Asian trading, after falling 0.6% in the previous session.

 

The dollar held steady at 147.36 yen, while the euro traded at $1.1654, down about 0.1% after gaining 0.7% in the prior session.

 

US Labor Department data is expected to show initial jobless claims rising by 3,000 to reach 221,000 for the week ending August 2. Continuing claims for the week ending July 26 are also projected to see a slight increase.

 

Last Friday’s report revealed weaker-than-expected US job growth in July, alongside significant downward revisions to May and June figures, indicating a sharp deterioration in labor market conditions.

 

Traders in interest rate futures are now pricing in a 94% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed’s September meeting, up from 48% a week ago, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Overall, markets are expecting around 60.5 basis points in rate cuts for the year.

 

A White House official said Wednesday that Trump could meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as next week, as Washington continues to pressure Moscow to end the war in Ukraine.

 

Trump also stated Tuesday that he would announce his pick to replace outgoing Fed board member Adriana Kugler by the end of the week. He has also narrowed the list of candidates to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair to four names.

 

The British pound held steady at $1.33505, while the Australian dollar was little changed at $0.65.

 

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The price of GBP/USD is $1.3438 (2025-08-07 19:45PM UTC)