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Bitcoin slumps to 10-month nadir on liquidation pressures, Fed caution

Economies.com
2026-02-02 14:23PM UTC

Bitcoin fell on Monday to trade near its lowest levels since April, after a sharp weekend selloff pushed prices toward the $75,000 area, amid broad leveraged liquidations and rising macroeconomic uncertainty.

 

The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped 2.2% to $76,825.4 by 03:06 a.m. US Eastern Time (08:06 GMT), after touching $74,635.5 — a level not seen for about ten months. Bitcoin remains close to the 15-month low near the $70,000 mark as selling pressure persists.

 

Liquidations weigh heavily on the crypto market

 

The latest decline dealt a heavy blow to the broader digital asset market, with roughly $111 billion wiped from total cryptocurrency market capitalization over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data, reflecting the scale of the selloff.

 

CoinGlass data showed that about $1.6 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated, as falling prices forced traders to rapidly unwind bullish bets. Thin liquidity — especially during weekend sessions — amplified losses, as key technical breaks triggered stop-loss orders and margin calls, accelerating the drop and increasing volatility.

 

Bitcoin’s weakness also comes alongside broader risk-off sentiment in global markets, as investor focus returns to the path of US monetary policy.

 

Warsh nomination to lead the Fed pressures crypto assets

 

Pressure on high-risk assets increased after US President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to chair the Federal Reserve, prompting investors to reassess interest rate expectations and liquidity conditions.

 

Warsh, a former Fed governor, is widely viewed as more hawkish, particularly regarding inflation control and balance sheet discipline. This stance points to tighter financial conditions than previously expected, reducing investor appetite for speculative assets — especially cryptocurrencies, which typically benefit from abundant liquidity and lower borrowing costs.

 

David Scott, market analyst at StoneX, said that Warsh’s earlier criticism of quantitative easing and the Fed’s balance sheet policies “triggered a rapid unwinding of trades built around currency debasement fears, including Bitcoin and other digital assets.”

 

These losses come after Bitcoin pulled back sharply from record levels reached last year, giving up a large portion of gains that had been driven by optimism over institutional adoption and easier financial conditions.

 

Altcoins continue to decline

 

Most alternative cryptocurrencies extended their losses, deepening the weekend downturn. Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, fell 6.6% to $2,290.92, trading near a seven-month low. XRP, the third-largest digital currency, dropped 4.4% to $1.59.

Oil tumbles 5% on signs of calm between US and Iran

Economies.com
2026-02-02 13:23PM UTC

Oil prices fell by about 5% in early Monday trading, retreating from five-month highs recorded at the end of last week, after the latest tensions between the United States and Iran appeared to be easing.

 

By 7:09 a.m. US Eastern Time, global benchmark Brent crude was trading near $65 per barrel, down from around $70 reached last week, when US President Donald Trump warned Iran that a “massive naval fleet” was heading toward the Arabian Gulf.

 

Brent crude prices dropped 4.83% on Monday morning to $65.99 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 5.11% to $61.92 per barrel.

 

Markets had reacted strongly last week to escalating tensions in the world’s most important oil-producing and exporting region, pushing prices sharply higher. However, the tone of statements shifted over the weekend, as President Trump said he believes Iran is “talking seriously” with the United States and expressed hope that negotiations could lead to an “acceptable” agreement.

 

Trump told a reporter aboard Air Force One that he could not confirm whether the military option was still on the table, saying, “I can’t confirm that,” but added that “we have very big, very powerful ships heading to that region,” before clarifying, “I hope they reach something acceptable through negotiation.”

 

The US president added, referring to Iran: “They have to do it, but I don’t know if they will. But they are talking to us… they are talking to us seriously.”

 

As the so-called geopolitical risk premium that had been priced into the market faded, oil prices pulled back on Monday from the five-month highs reached last Thursday.

 

ING commodities analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey said that “a broader correction across financial markets added further downward momentum to oil prices.”

 

Saxo Bank analysis said that “a military escalation that could drive gasoline prices sharply higher appears unlikely at this stage, especially with the president facing weaker polling and midterm elections approaching in November, where cost-of-living issues and his term in office will be central voter concerns.”

Dollar steadies in anticipation of Warsh-led Fed policies, commodity pressure

Economies.com
2026-02-02 12:26PM UTC

The US dollar held onto its gains on Monday as investors assessed the likely shape of monetary policy if Kevin Warsh takes over as Federal Reserve Chair, while the sharp drop in precious metals and oil prices weighed heavily on commodity-linked currencies.

 

The decline in commodities also spilled over into equity markets in Asia and Europe at the start of a tense week that includes several central bank meetings, key economic data releases, and upcoming elections in Japan.

 

The Japanese yen returned to the spotlight after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said over the weekend that a weak yen has benefits, in campaign remarks that appeared at odds with the Finance Ministry’s ongoing efforts to limit currency weakness.

 

The dollar steadied in European trading after rising on Friday following President Donald Trump’s announcement naming Warsh as his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve. Analysts assume Warsh would be less inclined to push for rapid and aggressive rate cuts than some other candidates, although he has appeared somewhat more dovish than current Chair Jerome Powell.

 

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of major peers, stood at 97.21, little changed after a 1% gain on Friday.

 

Mohammad Al-Sarraf, FX and fixed income analyst at Danske Bank, said: “Kevin Warsh, at least on the surface, is the most dollar-supportive choice Trump could have made. It’s too early to say the political risk premium in the dollar has disappeared, but some short-term risks have eased.”

 

Market pricing still points to two US rate cuts this year, with the first not expected before June, the month Warsh could take office if confirmed by the Senate. The euro pulled back from the $1.20 level to trade at $1.1852, while sterling was broadly steady near $1.3690.

 

Both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to leave interest rates unchanged when they announce their decisions on Thursday.

 

Commodity currencies under pressure

 

Currencies of economies closely tied to commodity prices and risk appetite came under pressure on Monday. The Australian dollar fell by as much as 0.7% to $0.6908 ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision on Tuesday, despite expectations of a hike, before trimming losses to trade down 0.3% at $0.6944.

 

The New Zealand dollar also slipped to $0.5991, while the Canadian dollar weakened by about 0.2%. Against the Norwegian krone, the dollar rose as much as 0.7%, as Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped about 5% each amid signs of a possible easing in tensions between the United States and Iran.

 

Yen continues to weaken

 

The Japanese yen eased slightly to 154.90 per dollar, partly affected by Takaichi’s comments seen as tolerant of currency weakness, as well as expectations that her party could secure a strong victory in the upcoming lower house elections. An Asahi newspaper poll showed the ruling Liberal Democratic Party could comfortably surpass the 233-seat majority threshold in the 465-seat chamber.

 

Analysts at Société Générale said this scenario, although “overly optimistic,” would be “highly significant” for Takaichi if realized. They added it would “allow her to move ahead freely with expansionary policies,” with markets likely to respond first by pricing a higher risk premium on long-term Japanese government bonds and on the yen.

 

Investors had already been selling the yen and Japanese government bonds ahead of the election, expecting more expansionary fiscal policy if Takaichi wins a strong mandate, while the tax cuts promoted by her party could add further strain to already stretched public finances.

 

Even so, the weaker yen has recently found some support, as traders remain alert to the possibility of coordinated currency market intervention by the United States and Japan, after talk of exchange-rate checks by both sides late last month triggered a sharp jump in the yen.

Silver loses over 16% and hits 2016 low

Economies.com
2026-02-02 11:14AM UTC

Silver prices fell more than 16% in European trading on Monday, extending their losses for the third straight session and recording their lowest levels this year and the lowest in five weeks, amid a heavy selloff across precious metals markets, especially after CME Group raised margin requirements for gold and silver futures contracts.

 

Prices are also under pressure from the stronger US dollar against a basket of global currencies, supported by broad investor approval of Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve.

 

Price Overview

 

• Silver prices today: Silver dropped by 16.25% to $71.38 per ounce, the lowest level since December 31, down from the session opening at $85.23, and recording a session high at $88.96.

 

• At Friday’s settlement, silver prices plunged by 26.5%, marking a second consecutive daily loss and the largest single-day drop on record, driven by accelerated correction and profit-taking from the all-time high of $121.65 per ounce.

 

• Over January, silver prices still posted a 19% gain, marking the ninth consecutive monthly increase, supported by strong retail investor demand.

 

CME Group decisions

 

CME Group, the owner of the world’s largest and most important derivatives exchanges, announced on Saturday that it will raise margin requirements on metals futures contracts, with the new rules taking effect after market close on Monday, February 2, 2026.

 

The decision includes raising margin requirements on gold futures contracts on COMEX from 6% to 8%, while silver futures margins were lifted more sharply to 15% from 11%.

 

The increases also cover platinum and palladium contracts, in a move aimed at strengthening financial safeguards and reducing available leverage for traders following the record rally in precious metals prices.

 

US dollar

 

The US dollar index rose by 0.15% on Monday, extending gains for the second straight session and hitting a one-week high, reflecting continued strength in the US currency against a basket of major and minor currencies.

 

The advance follows positive market reaction to President Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, a step that boosted confidence regarding the future direction of monetary policy.

 

Expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more hawkish stance in tackling inflation, prompting traders to add to long dollar positions against major and secondary currencies.

 

John Higgins, Chief Economist at Capital Economics, said the market reaction to Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair broadly aligns with their view that the president has made a relatively safe choice.

 

He added that the prevailing impression is that Warsh is not fully under presidential influence and would not undermine Federal Reserve independence or heighten concerns about currency weakness.