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Oil prices extend recovery on higher fuel demand

Economies.com
2022-06-21 13:35PM UTC

Oil prices rose in European trade off five-week lows for another session as fuel demand increases in the summer in major consumers. 

 

Prices are also supported by dollar's decline against major rivals, underpinning demand on commodities and dollar-denominated metals.

 

Prices

 

US crude prices rose 1.9% to $110.77 a barrel, while Brent rose 1.8% to $116.21 a barrel.

 

US crude rose 0.25% on Monday, as Brent added 0.9% off five-week lows at 111.58. 

 

Demand

 

Most energy experts expect fuel demand to improve as China reopens major cities while summer vacations spread worldwide.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index fell 0.5% on Tuesday for another session on profit-taking off 20-year highs against major rivals. 

 

The dollar lost ground amid doubts the Fed might ever hike rates by 75 basis points once more this year.

 

Iranian Supplies

 

A United Nations report indicated Iran is enriching Uranium to for use in specialized nuclear cents to generate energy.

 

Such steps imply that Iranian oil supplies are unlikely to return to the global market any time soon as tensions persist with the US.

Could yen hit 140 against dollar in 2022?

Economies.com
2022-06-21 12:15PM UTC

Yen declined on Tuesday against dollar for the third straight session to 24-year lows at 136, opening the door for questions about a collapse towards 140.

 

Let's explore the factor behind yen's collapse to answer these questions.

 

We'll then predict future behavior for the yen against major rivals amid monetary policy variance in Japan and the US.

 

USD/JPY rose 0.8% to 136.03, the highest since October 1998, after yen lost another 0.1% yesterday, the second loss in a row, following a 2.1% tumble on Friday.

 

BoJ

 

Bank of Japan's policymakers voted to hold rates at minus 0.10% at the June 16-17 meeting, as expected by most analysts.

 

BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the Bank is ready to even make policies easier and more accommodative if necessary,

 

Kuroda is expecting inflation to hover near 2% for the time being and thus there's no need to tighten policies under such conditions. 

 

US Yields

 

After the Federal Reserve's historic decision to hike rates by 75 basis points to 1.75%, the highest increase since 1994, yields moved rapidly. 

 

US 10-year treasury yields rose 1.2% on Tuesday for the third straight session on track to hit 11-year highs at 3.5%.

 

Higher yields obviously support the dollar against major rivals and especially the yen.

 

Estimates

 

Now analysts expect a new moving target for the yen towards 138, and even 140 is on the table now. 

Gold extends losses due to US yields , why?

Economies.com
2022-06-21 11:12AM UTC

Gold prices declined in European trade for the third straight session as US 10-year yields rally, pressuring the precious metal.

 

Gold is also pressured by ongoing efforts by global central banks to tighten policies to combat inflation.

 

Gold prices fell 0.3% to $1,832 an ounce, after losing 0.2% yesterday, the second loss in a row. 

 

US Yields 

 

US 10-year treasury yields rose 1.2% on Tuesday for the third straight session on track to hit  11-year highs at 3.5%. 

 

Higher yields pressure precious metals such as gold as they are unyielding. 

 

Global Central Bank

 

Global central banks are still moving to control inflation and prices, with Bank of England hiking rates by 25 basis points to 1.25%, the fifth such increase in a row.

 

Swiss Central Bank decided to hike rates by 50 basis points at the June 16 meeting to minus 0.25%, the first such increase since 2007, while analysts expected no change at minus 0.75%.

 

Higher interest rates weaken demand on gold prices as it becomes less attractive as an investment.

 

The SPDR

 

Gold holdings at the SPDR Gold Trust remained flat at 1,075 tones, the highest since May 9. 

Euro extends gains after Christine Lagarde's remarks

Economies.com
2022-06-21 09:09AM UTC

Euro rose in European trade against dollar for another session following remarks by ECB President Christine Lagarde ahead of Parliament. 

 

The greenback is extending its decline off 20-year highs against major rivals on active profit-taking ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Congressional testimony.

 

EUR/USD rose 0.6% today to 1.0578, after rising 0.2% yesterday, the fourth profit in five days.

 

Lagarde

 

ECB President Christine Lagarde said the ECB doesn't expect a recession in the euro zone but must take precautions against it.

 

Lagarde pointed to the Ukrainian crisis as the ongoing cause for inflation, and asserted the central bank must work to coordinate monetary policies better in European countries.

 

European Rates

 

Now markets fully expect the ECB to hike rates by 25 basis points in July, and by a similar amount in September.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index fell 0.5% on Tuesday for another session on profit-taking off 20-year highs against major rivals. 

 

The dollar lost ground amid doubts the Fed might ever hike rates by 75 basis points once more this year.

 

Markets also await Fed Chair Jerome Powell's Congressional testimony this week to gather more clues on the future of monetary policy. 

Frequently asked questions

What is the price of Oil today?

The price of Oil is $66.485 (2025-07-04 23:55PM UTC)