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Gold stabilizes as the dollar muscles up amid trade developments

Economies.com
2025-07-07 19:03PM UTC
AI Summary
  • Gold prices stabilized as the US dollar strengthened against major currencies amid trade developments
  • US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced upcoming trade-related announcements within 48 hours
  • President Trump warned countries aligning with BRICS alliance of an additional 10% tariff, with tariffs set to begin on August 1

Gold prices held steady during Monday’s trading session amid a notable rise in the US dollar against most major currencies, as traders monitored developments on the trade front.

 

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with CNBC that the administration will issue a number of trade-related announcements within the next 48 hours. He did not specify which countries would be affected, adding that the coming days would be packed with new trade offers.

 

For his part, US President Donald Trump warned countries aligning themselves with the BRICS alliance—which he described as opposing American interests—that they will face an additional 10% tariff.

 

Trump wrote on social media: “Any country aligning with the anti-America policies of BRICS will face an additional 10% tariff. There will be no exceptions to this policy.”

 

Trump has long criticized BRICS, a bloc that includes China, Russia, and India.

 

The United States had initially set July 9 as the deadline for countries to reach a trade agreement, but US officials now say that tariffs will begin on August 1. Trump stated that he would send letters to countries informing them of the tariff rates in case no agreement is reached.

 

On Monday, President Donald Trump announced that his administration will impose a 25% tariff on imports from South Korea and Japan starting August 1, as part of a batch of letters to be sent to a number of foreign nations.

 

The White House also confirmed Monday that President Donald Trump will sign an executive order extending the temporary freeze on the so-called “reciprocal tariffs” until August 1, granting targeted countries an additional three-week grace period to reach trade deals with the United States.

 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index rose by 0.3% to 97.4 points at 19:51 GMT, recording a high of 97.6 points and a low of 96.8 points.

 

In terms of market performance, spot gold prices were steady at $3,344.80 per ounce by 19:52 GMT.

 

How does China profit hugely from anti-Russian steel sanctions?

Economies.com
2025-07-07 15:49PM UTC

Ongoing geopolitical conflicts—including an active war—alongside market instability, declining steel demand in some global regions, and rising protective tariffs on exporting countries, have pushed several steel-producing nations, including China, to reassess and refocus their steel industry supply chains.

 

Faced with weak domestic demand for steel due to slowing economic growth, China’s steel industry has revised its export roadmap. For example, the value of its alloy exports to Russia rose by about 16% in the first five months of 2025, compared to just 1.3% in 2024. According to the report, the export list mainly includes types of stainless and specialized steel not manufactured in Russia. However, imports of standard construction steel from China have started gaining momentum in several regions.

 

Steel production in Russia declines

 

Media reports indicate that Russia’s steel production is in decline due to sanctions imposed following its invasion of Ukraine. According to a report by World Steel, Russian steel output fell 7% year-on-year to just over 70 million tons in 2024. Within the Russian steel sector, companies cut production by between 8% and 14%.

 

When sanctions were first imposed, Russia redirected its steel supply toward the Middle East, North Africa, China, and even India in an attempt to offset the loss of EU and U.S. markets. However, in the years that followed, the Chinese market also began to slip away from the Russian Federation. By 2024, shipments of ferrous metals to China had nearly halved.

 

At the same time, Russian steel mills found themselves grappling with cheap steel that China began shipping to Russia to offload its own industry’s surplus. Now, China’s attempts to export steel to MENA countries are also starting to fade.

 

The Chinese game

 

While this clearly affects Russia, the bigger story here is about China. Viewed from another angle, both countries are competing for position in the global steel industry. Yet the Kremlin is at a disadvantage due to sanctions. China, on the other hand, enjoys the upper hand as the world’s largest steel producer and consumer.

 

At present, China is making a concerted effort to find new buyers, especially as local buyers and former export partners are no longer purchasing steel at the same rate as in previous years. Recently, Beijing turned to Asian and Southeast Asian markets to flood them with steel—until some responded with tariffs, much like the United States did.

 

So far, this strategy has maintained China’s steel output levels. However, some industry experts believe that total Chinese steel consumption—including exports—will eventually decline either by the end of 2025 or sometime next year. The Chinese steel industry continues to prioritize exports.

 

According to Reuters, China’s steel product exports rose by 1.15% between April and May, and by about 10% year-on-year. This helped push steel output to a seven-month high of 10.58 million tons. The reasons for this export surge varied, including fears of upcoming tariff hikes.

 

Between January and May 2025, Chinese steel exports hit a record high of around 48 million metric tons, an 8.9% increase year-on-year. At the same time, imports fell by about 16% year-on-year in the first five months of 2025, reaching just 2.55 million metric tons.

 

Russia remains one of the few destinations where China markets its steel at low prices, hoping export conditions continue to improve. Contributing factors to the export rise include weak local demand in China, Russia’s limited expertise in producing specialized steel products, and, of course, low Chinese steel prices. Some countries are growing tired of China’s game.

 

It remains to be seen how long China’s export maneuver will stay competitive in the steel market. Even countries like Vietnam and India have already imposed or are planning to impose additional tariffs. Others, like Japan, are considering the idea. For instance, in late 2024, Japan’s leading steelmaker Nippon Steel made a public request for the Japanese government to impose safeguard tariffs on Chinese steel exports.

 

Wall Street declines despite positive remarks on trade

Economies.com
2025-07-07 15:38PM UTC

U.S. stock indices declined during Monday trading as markets assessed the latest developments in trade talks between the United States and other countries.

 

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with CNBC that the administration will issue several trade-related announcements within the next 48 hours, though he did not specify the countries involved. He added that the coming days will be packed with new trade proposals.

 

President Donald Trump warned countries aligning with BRICS alliance policies that run counter to U.S. interests that they would face an additional 10% tariff.

 

Trump wrote on social media: “Any country siding with BRICS’ anti-America policies will face an additional 10% tariff. There will be no exceptions to this policy.”

 

Trump has long criticized the BRICS group, which includes China, Russia, and India among its members.

 

The U.S. had initially set July 9 as the deadline for countries to reach trade agreements, but American officials now say that the tariffs will begin on August 1. Trump said he will send letters to the countries informing them of the tariff rates if no agreement is reached.

 

As for market performance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.7% (310 points) to 44,519 points as of 16:36 GMT. The broader S&P 500 index declined by 0.6% (38 points) to 6,241 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.7% (145 points) to 20,456 points.

 

 

Copper, other industrial metals decline amid US trade uncertainty

Economies.com
2025-07-07 15:28PM UTC

Copper and other base metal prices declined on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States is close to finalizing several trade agreements in the coming days.

 

Trump said the U.S. will notify other countries of higher tariff rates by July 9, with those rates taking effect on August 1. He added that any country aligning with the "anti-America" policies of the BRICS group of developing nations will face an additional 10% tariff.

 

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell 0.5% to $9,815 per metric ton during official open-outcry trading. Technically, the contract remains supported by the 21-day moving average at $9,767.

 

Dan Smith, managing director at Commodity Market Analytics, said: “Everyone’s doing some profit-taking amid the threat of additional tariffs, especially since a lot of optimism was already priced into the market over the past month.”

 

Copper, which is widely used in energy and construction, reached a three-month high of $10,020.5 per ton last week.

 

Meanwhile, as Washington continues its investigation into potential new tariffs on copper imports, the premium of copper contracts on the U.S. COMEX exchange over benchmark LME contracts remains elevated. Data shows COMEX copper inventories have reached their highest levels in seven years, up 120% since mid-February.

 

“That copper is basically stuck inside the United States right now,” Smith added, “which is creating a kind of supply bottleneck. A lot of the stock is in the wrong place and is hard to access.”

 

Copper stocks in LME-registered warehouses currently stand at 97,400 tons, up slightly since early July but still down 64% since mid-February.

 

Elsewhere, aluminum prices on the LME fell 1.0% to $2,564 per ton. Zinc dropped 1.1% to $2,695, lead declined 1.0% to $2,038, tin fell 0.6% to $33,495, and nickel slid 1.2% to $15,100.

 

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index rose 0.1% to 97.3 at 16:15 GMT, after reaching a high of 97.4 and a low of 96.8.

 

In U.S. trading, copper futures for September delivery dropped 2.3% to $5.02 per pound as of 16:14 GMT.

 

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The price of Gold is $3326.530 (2025-07-08 08:45AM UTC)