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Gold declines as the dollar muscles up amid the trade war

Economies.com
2025-07-08 18:22PM UTC
AI Summary
  • Gold prices declined as the US dollar strengthened amid trade war developments
  • President Trump announced new tariffs on imports from South Korea and Japan
  • US Treasury Secretary predicts tariffs will generate over $300 billion in revenue for the US by the end of the year

Gold prices declined during Tuesday trading amid a rise in the US dollar against most major currencies, alongside continued market focus on trade war developments.

 

US President Donald Trump announced on Monday that his administration would impose a 25% tariff on imports from South Korea and Japan starting August 1, as part of a new round of tariff messages to be sent to several foreign countries.

 

The White House confirmed on Monday that President Trump would sign an executive order to extend the temporary freeze on so-called “reciprocal tariffs” until August 1, giving targeted countries an additional three-week window to reach trade agreements with the United States.

 

Trump stated today that there would be no extension to the final deadline for the implementation of additional tariffs after August 1.

 

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent commented on the trade policy, saying that tariffs would generate revenues exceeding $300 billion for the United States by the end of this year.

 

In a separate context, Trump renewed his attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, demanding the latter’s immediate resignation.

 

The US Dollar Index rose by less than 0.1% to 97.5 points as of 19:10 GMT, recording a high of 97.8 points and a low of 97.1 points.

 

In terms of trading, spot gold contracts fell by 0.8% to $3,315.10 an ounce as of 19:11 GMT.

 

As Trump threatens additional tariffs on BRICS.. What are the ramifications?

Economies.com
2025-07-08 18:09PM UTC

US President Donald Trump threatened to impose an additional 10% tariff on any country that supports what he described as “anti-American policies” issued by the BRICS group, a political and diplomatic coordination forum comprising 11 countries.

 

Trump said via the Truth Social platform on Sunday evening that any country aligning itself with the anti-American policies adopted by BRICS would be subject to an additional 10% tariff, and that there would be no exceptions to this policy.

 

Trump did not clarify exactly what he meant by “anti-American policies” in this context, but he had previously warned the group against creating a new BRICS currency or supporting any alternative to the “great American dollar.”

 

At the conclusion of the BRICS summit held in Rio de Janeiro on Monday, Brazilian President Lula da Silva responded to Trump’s threat by saying that the world has changed and that no one wants an emperor, adding that BRICS is a group of countries seeking a new way to organize the world economically, and that this is why some feel uncomfortable with BRICS.

 

Trump’s threat comes ahead of a planned announcement of tariff agreements

 

The threat followed Trump’s statement that tariff agreements and letters with a number of countries would be revealed starting at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on Monday, ahead of the temporary tariff freeze deadline set for July 9.

 

Although countries are encouraged to finalize agreements before July 9, the Trump administration later clarified that the higher tariffs would not take effect before August 1.

 

Since Monday afternoon, Trump has posted a large number of trade agreement letters on social media.

 

He has imposed a 25% tariff on imports from South Korea and Japan and announced new tariff rates on twelve other countries.

 

Before this week, Trump had only announced tariff agreements with three countries: the United Kingdom, China, and Vietnam.

 

Trump’s threat loomed over the closing of the BRICS summit in Brazil

 

During the final part of the two-day BRICS summit, Trump’s direct threat dominated the atmosphere, as the attending leaders signed on Sunday a joint statement titled “Strengthening South-South Cooperation for More Inclusive and Sustainable Governance.”

 

On Monday, the leaders maintained a unified position in response to the threats issued by Trump.

 

What is the BRICS group?

 

BRICS was founded in 2001 — originally comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa — as a forum for emerging and developing countries to enhance cooperation on trade, security, and diplomacy.

 

South Africa was invited to join in 2010, and since then other countries have joined, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia, the UAE, and Indonesia, bringing the total number to 11 countries.

 

BRICS has also established ties with strategic partner countries during last year’s summit, including Belarus, Bolivia, Kazakhstan, Cuba, Malaysia, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Nigeria, and Vietnam was officially announced as the tenth partner country in June.

 

The group presents a challenge to the unipolar vision of global power that places the United States as the dominant superpower.

 

Instead, BRICS promotes a multipolar model where various countries collaborate on the global stage.

 

Some experts believe the era of US dominance over the global system has come to an end and that the shift to a multipolar order has already begun.

 

BRICS states that it accounts for 24% of global trade and represents 39% of global GDP.

 

On the first day of this year’s summit, BRICS countries issued a joint statement expressing concern about the “arbitrary increase in tariffs,” without directly naming the United States or Trump.

 

The statement said that the group is seriously concerned about the escalation of unilateral tariff measures and non-tariff barriers that distort trade and violate WTO rules.

 

The BRICS countries also emphasized their vision for the future of the global system, stating the importance of the Global South as a driving force for positive change, especially amid growing international challenges, including escalating geopolitical tensions, economic slowdown, rapid technological transformations, rising protectionism, and migration challenges.

 

How did BRICS leaders respond to Trump’s threat?

 

Brazil’s president was not the only one to respond to Trump’s public threat.

 

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Monday that BRICS does not operate with the intent of undermining other countries.

 

He added that similar statements have already been seen from President Trump, but it is important to stress that the uniqueness of a group like BRICS lies in the fact that it brings together countries with shared visions for cooperation based on their sovereign interests, and that this cooperation has never been, and will never be, directed against third parties.

 

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said it opposes the use of tariffs as a tool of pressure.

 

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stated that China’s position on increased US tariffs is very clear, and that trade wars have no winners, and economic protectionism leads nowhere.

 

South Africa’s Ministry of Trade spokesperson Kameel Alli told Reuters that the country is still awaiting an official notification from the United States regarding its trade agreement, but said the talks remain constructive and productive, and reiterated that South Africa is not against America.

 

Indonesia’s Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs, Airlangga Hartarto, is scheduled to travel to the United States on Monday following the conclusion of the BRICS summit, with tariffs expected to be at the top of the agenda.

 

Previous threats from Trump to BRICS.

 

This is not the first time Trump has threatened the BRICS group.

 

In November, following his presidential election victory, he threatened to impose 100% tariffs on BRICS countries if they chose to “move away” from the US dollar.

 

At the time, Trump said that the idea of BRICS countries trying to abandon the dollar while the US does nothing is over, and that the US demands a commitment from these countries not to create a new BRICS currency or support any alternative to the great American dollar, otherwise they should expect 100% tariffs and say goodbye to the amazing American market.

 

Wall Street inches down as investors assess US trade decisions

Economies.com
2025-07-08 15:31PM UTC

US stock indices declined slightly during Tuesday trading as markets continued to assess the trade policies pursued by President Donald Trump's administration.

 

The United States had previously set July 9 as the deadline for countries to reach a trade agreement, but US officials now say that tariffs will begin on August 1, and Trump stated that he would send letters to countries informing them of the tariff rates in the event no agreement is reached.

 

On Monday, US President Donald Trump announced that his administration would impose 25% tariffs on imports coming from South Korea and Japan starting from August 1, as part of a new round of letters to be sent to several foreign countries.

 

The White House also confirmed on Monday that President Trump would sign an executive order extending the temporary freeze on so-called “reciprocal tariffs” until August 1, giving the targeted countries an additional three-week deadline to conclude trade deals with the United States.

 

On the trading front, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.3%—equivalent to 148 points—to 44,258 points by 16:29 GMT, while the broader S&P 500 index dropped by 0.1% (8 points) to 6,222 points, and the Nasdaq Composite Index declined by 0.1% (13 points) to 20,402 points.

 

Copper prices return lower on stronger dollar, growth concerns

Economies.com
2025-07-08 15:07PM UTC

Copper prices edged lower on Tuesday after giving up earlier gains, pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar and growing concerns over global economic slowdown and weakening demand due to new U.S. tariffs. Rising copper inventories also weighed on the market, according to traders.

 

Copper Near 3-Month High

 

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose slightly by 0.1% to $9,835 per metric ton as of 10:30 GMT, hovering near last week’s three-month peak of $10,020.50.

 

Earlier support came from a weaker dollar, which makes dollar-denominated commodities more attractive to holders of other currencies, potentially boosting demand for industrial metals like copper.

 

U.S. Tariffs Cast a Shadow

 

On Monday, the U.S. issued formal notifications to 14 countries announcing new tariffs ranging between 25% and 40%, set to take effect on August 1 after being postponed from the original July 9 deadline.

 

President Donald Trump also threatened an additional 10% tariff on BRICS nations—including Brazil, Russia, India, and China—if, as he stated, they continue "anti-American policies" during their ongoing summit in Brazil.

 

Copper Inventories Climb—But Market Still Needs Deliveries

 

LME-registered warehouse copper stocks rose to 102,500 tons—an increase of 13% (11,875 tons) since June 27—easing immediate supply concerns.

 

However, traders noted the market still lacks sufficient physical deliveries to satisfy demand. The cancellation rate, which tracks material due to leave warehouses, stood at 36%, suggesting 37,100 tons are scheduled to be shipped out soon.

 

Meanwhile, the tom-next spread (difference between spot and next-day delivery) widened to $13 per ton ahead of next week’s contract settlement, when short positions must either close or roll over.

 

Other Base Metals Movement

 

Aluminum rose 0.3% to $2,582/ton, though inventories at the LME surged by 47,450 tons since June 25 to 384,350 tons, flipping the cash premium to a discount.

 

Zinc gained 0.8% to $2,706/ton.

 

Lead climbed 0.4% to $2,045/ton.

 

Tin added 0.4% to $33,410/ton.

 

Nickel slipped 0.3% to $15,130/ton.

 

The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.3% to 97.7 by 15:54 GMT, reaching a session high of 97.8 and a low of 97.1.

 

In U.S. trading, COMEX copper futures for September delivery fell 0.8% to $4.98 per pound as of 15:52 GMT.

 

 

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The price of Gold is $3292.430 (2025-07-09 03:15AM UTC)