Outlook Report — 23 July 2026
The Q2 2026 earnings season places three artificial intelligence companies at the centre of the investment landscape over the next two weeks: AMD with its Helios platform and MI400 series, Palantir with defence AI and its sovereign-AI partnership with Nvidia, and Qualcomm with its pivot into AI data centres targeting $40 billion in non-smartphone revenue by 2029. These results may not only assess each company's performance, but could also define the sector's next phase and reveal where the most attractive investment opportunities lie.
Tech earnings season is no longer limited to tracking the performance of the Magnificent Seven in the United States. Recent months have seen a marked shift in where attention is focused within the artificial intelligence sector.
While the mega-cap companies face mounting challenges:
In contrast, new companies have emerged as key players in the AI race, benefiting from surging demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, the expansion of AI applications in the defence sector, and intensifying competition in developing custom AI chips for personal devices and data centres.
The question in markets is no longer whether AI will continue to lead the technology growth wave, but rather which companies are most capable of converting that momentum into sustainable profits, who has the fundamentals to deliver positive surprises this earnings season, and whose growth expectations are already fully priced in.
| Company | Key Driver | Pivotal Levels |
|---|---|---|
| AMD | MI400 series & Helios platform | Resistance $584 / Target $600 |
| Palantir | Defence AI + Nvidia partnership | Range $110–$160 / Target $200 |
| Qualcomm | AI data centres + $40bn target | Target $260 / Support $120 |
AMD is one of the most prominent competitors to Nvidia in the AI processor market, and its Q2 results represent a decisive test of its ability to cement its position in this fast-growing sector.
Investor focus will centre on data centre segment revenue, which reached $5.8 billion last quarter, with expectations of further growth in Q2. However, this growth faces a key challenge: securing sufficient quantities of HBM4 memory, which has become one of the scarcest components in the AI supply chain.
Any delay in obtaining this memory could affect the Helios launch timeline and limit AMD's ability to narrow the gap with Nvidia.
AMD weekly chart — Source: TradingView
Technically, AMD is trading in a sideways range near its all-time high at $584, signalling investors are waiting for earnings.
If results and forward guidance come in stronger than expected, the rally could resume, breaking above $584 and pushing toward new record levels above $600.
Despite Palantir's stock decline this year, the company's operational momentum remains strong, supported by continued robust revenue growth and expanding business in defence and artificial intelligence.
Market focus will be on the company's ability to continue expanding beyond the government sector, particularly in the US commercial market, after that segment posted exceptional growth in Q1.
If Palantir maintains this momentum, it could reinforce investor confidence in growth sustainability and justify its elevated valuations. Any notable slowdown, however, could prompt markets to re-evaluate the valuation premium the stock enjoys.
Palantir weekly chart — Source: TradingView
Technically, the stock is trading near pivotal support and resistance levels between $110 and $160, making earnings a decisive factor for its next direction.
Strong results accompanied by optimistic guidance could push the stock to resume its uptrend and break $160 resistance toward $200. Conversely, results or guidance below expectations could trigger renewed selling pressure, abandoning the $110 support and losing the historical $100 support.
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Qualcomm is undergoing one of the most significant transformations in its history, after announcing at its June 2026 Investor Day an ambitious strategy to double revenue from non-smartphone activities to $40 billion by 2029.
The company also revealed plans to enter the AI data centre market, confirming that its first shipments to major cloud providers (hyperscalers) remain on schedule for this year.
Success on both fronts could strengthen Qualcomm's position as a promising AI sector player, while any delay or slowdown could keep it viewed as a company primarily dependent on its smartphone business.
Qualcomm weekly chart — Source: TradingView
Technically, the stock is attempting to form a new price base after its recent correction, awaiting a strong catalyst to restore buying momentum.
Strong results alongside positive forward guidance could serve as a launchpad for resuming the uptrend toward $260, while any disappointment could increase pressure on the stock and push investors to reassess its AI growth prospects, potentially driving it toward $120.
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| Criterion | AMD | Palantir | Qualcomm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AI processors | Defence AI software | Chips + data centres |
| Key driver | MI400 + Helios | Nvidia sovereign AI deal | $40bn target by 2029 |
| Decisive number | $5.8bn (Q1 data centre) | US commercial growth | China smartphone recovery |
| Main risk | HBM4 memory scarcity | Growth-rate slowdown | Diversification delays |
| Bullish scenario | Above $600 | Toward $200 | Toward $260 |
| Bearish scenario | Sideways range | Break $110 toward $100 | Toward $120 |
All three companies report within the next two weeks of this report's date (23 July 2026).
HBM4 is high bandwidth memory that has become one of the scarcest components in the AI supply chain. Any delay in availability could disrupt the Helios platform launch schedule.
Deploying AI solutions on air-gapped government systems isolated from networks, through a strategic partnership between Palantir and Nvidia.
It represents doubling non-smartphone revenue by 2029, signalling a fundamental strategic pivot toward AI data centres.
AMD: resistance $584, target $600+. Palantir: range $110–$160, historical support $100, target $200. Qualcomm: target $260, support $120.
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Disclaimer: Trading stocks and CFDs carries a high risk of capital loss. The information above is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any decision.