Fed's projections for growth, inflation, unemployment, and interest rates

Economies.com
2017-12-13 19:20PM UTC

The following details the Federal Reserve's three year forecasts for growth, unemployment, inflation, and interest rates, after members of the Federal Open Market Committee voted to increase overnight interest rates to between 1.25% and 1.50% before Fed Chair Janet Yellen's post meeting press conference. 

 

Growth rates are expected to range from 2.4% and 2.5% in 2017, compared to 2.2% to 2.5% in previous forecasts in the September meeting, while in 2018, the bank forecasts a growth of 2.2% to 2.6%, while expecting growth of 1.9% to 2.3% in 2019, compared to 1.7% and 2.1% before, and finally, long-term growth is forecast to range from 1.8% to 1.9%, compared to 1.8% and 2.0% before.

 

Unemployment rates for 2017 are expected to steady at 4.1%, compared to 4.2% to 4.3% previous forecasts in September, while rates for 2018 are forecast to range from 3.7% to 4.0%. For 2019, forecasts point to 3.6% to 4.0%, while ranging from 4.4% to 4.7% in the long term.

 

As of 07:11 GMT, the dollar index, tracking the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell to 93.69 from the opening of 94.10, with an intraday high at 94.11, and a low at 93.65.

 

Inflation in 2017 is expected to range from 1.6% to 1.7%, compared to 1.5% to 1.6% in previous forecasts, while ranging from 1.7% to 1.9% in 2018. In 2019, inflation is projected to steady at 2.0%, same as before, while settling at 2.0% in the long term, also the same as before.

 

Core inflation in 2017 is forecast to steady at 1.5%, compared to a range from 1.5% to 1.6% in previous projections in September, while ranging from 1.7% to 1.9% in 2018, and steadying at 2.0% in 2019, and in 2020, it's expected to range between 2.0% and 2.1%. 

 

Finally, the FOMC saw overnight interest rates at 1.4% this year, compared to previous expectations to range between 1.1% and 1.4%, while projection a range from 1.9% to 2.4% in 2018, same as before, as rates are expected to range between 2.4% and 3.1% in 2019, while in the long term, rates are projected to range between 2.8% and 3.0%, compared to a range of 2.5% to 3.0% in previous forecasts. 

Forex and Currency News

Forex News

Forex

Dollar rebounds ahead of US unemployment claims data
2024-05-02 11:10AM UTC
Dollar rose in European trade on Thursday against a basket of major rivals, resuming gains after a ...
USD/CHF news

Forex

Franc is best performing major currency after Swiss data
2024-05-02 07:52AM UTC
Swiss Franc rallied in European trade on Thursday, extending gains for the second straight day ...
Forex News

Forex

Dollar parks at two-week highs ahead of Fed decisions
2024-05-01 11:37AM UTC
The dollar rose in European trade on Wednesday against a basket of major rivals, extending gains ...

Forex Technical Analysis

GBP USD Analysis

Forex

The GBPUSD forecast update 02-05-2024
2024-05-02 09:06AM UTC
GBPUSD Trading Report The GBPUSD price shows weak trades since morning, settling above 1.2500$ ...
EUR USD Analysis

Forex

The EURUSD price forecast update - 02-05-2024
2024-05-02 09:05AM UTC
EURUSD Trading Report The EURUSD price continues to fluctuate around 1.0715$ level, and we still ...
EUR GBP Analysis

Forex

The EURGBP tests key support – Forecast today – 2-5-2024
2024-05-02 08:15AM UTC
Expected Scenarios The EURGBP price formed many bearish trades recently, to test 38.2% ...