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Euro declines to two-week lows on economic recession concerns

Economies.com
2022-08-16 09:50AM UTC

Euro declined in European against dollar for third straight session, marking two-week lows amid risk aversion and concerns about global deceleration.

 

Such ominous slowing down of economic growth would hamper the ECB's policy plans, and hurt euro's standing. 

 

EUR/USD fell 0.35% to 1.0125, after falling 1% yesterday, the second loss in a row following disappointing Chinese data. 

 

Global Recession

 

Earlier US data showed factory orders slowed down sharply in New York to two-year lows, while housing markets declined as well to 2020 lows. 

 

Chinese data showed the economy slowed down more than expected in July, in turn triggering concerns about global growth prospects this year. 

 

Growth Risks

 

Europe continues to face growth risks in regards to its energy crisis and low natural gas supplies from Russia, which will increase pressure on the euro. 

 

It might force the European Central Bank to slow down its pace of policy tightening compared to the Federal Reserve's, in turn weakening euro against the greenback. 

Europe's economic sentiment swoons to 2011 lows

Economies.com
2022-08-16 09:36AM UTC

Europe's ZEW index for gauging economic confidence fell to minus 54.9 in August, the lowest since November 2011, missing estimates of minus 52.0, and down from July's 51.1. 

Germany's economic sentiment tumbles to 2008 lows

Economies.com
2022-08-16 09:33AM UTC

Germany's ZEW index for economic confidence fell to minus 55.3 in August, the lowest since 2008, and missing estimates of minus 52.7, and down from July's minus 53.8.

Oil prices rise 1%, dollar adds to gains

Economies.com
2022-08-16 06:05AM UTC

Oil futures rose nearly 1% in Asian trade as Brent futures climbed from February 22 lows, while US crude prices rose from February 3 lows, while the dollar index rose from June 29 lows. 

 

That comes ahead of a batch of US data later today, while US-China tensions develop as well. 

 

As of 05:42 GMT, US crude futures due in September rose 0.99% to $88.80 a barrel, while Brent October futures rose 0.58% to $94.18 a barrel, as the dollar index rose 0.03% to 106.51. 

 

From the US, building permits are expected down to 1.63 million, while building starts are expected down to 1.53 million from 1.55 million.

 

US industrial production is expected up 0.3% in July, compared to a 0.2% drop in June. 

 

Two-year and five-year treasury yields curves remain reversed, in an ominous sign for an upcoming depression in the US economy.

 

Otherwise, a party of US lawmakers have arrived at Taiwan to discuss relations with Taiwanese government and investments.

 

China continues to condemn such moves and developing relations between US and Taiwan, and has already begun threatening military actions around Taiwan as a threat.

 

Otherwise, China continues to face a very stubborn Covid 19 wave that continues to impede growth, with World Health Organization reporting 585.05 million global infections worldwide so far, with the death toll at 6.425 million.

 

Baker Hughes data showed US oil rigs rose by 3 to 601 rigs, while rising in July for the 24th month in a row, with US output stabilizing at 12.1 million bpd, the highest since April 2020.

 

US output remains down a million bpd, or 8% from record highs at 13.1 million bpd in March 2020.