Euro on track for third weekly loss in row

Economies.com
2023-05-26 07:35AM UTC

Euro rose in European trade on Friday for the first time in four sessions against dollar amid attempts to recover from two-month lows, while on track for the third weekly loss in row on concerns about a widening policy gap between the US and Europe. 

 

Recent bullish remarks by Fed officials bolstered the case for a 0.25% rate hike in June, in addition to a spate of solid US data. 

 

EUR/USD rose 0.2% to 1.0743, with a session-low at 1.0717, after losing 0.2% on Thursday, the third loss in a row, hitting two-month lows at 1.0707 following strong US data.

 

Euro is down 0.6% so far this week on track for the third weekly loss in a row, the longest such streak of weekly losses this year.

 

European Rates

 

Despite assertions from the European Central Banks on extended policy tightening, doubts are mounting on whether the ECB will raise interest rates further this year.

 

The ECB remains one of the slowest major central banks in raising interest rates, placing sixth in the G8 major currency regions.

 

Now investors await crucial European inflation data next week to better gauge the path ahead for policies in Europe.

 

The Dollar

 

The dollar index fell 0.2% on Friday, the first such decline in five sessions away from two-month highs at 104.31 on active profit-taking.

 

Most remarks by Fed officials were highly bullish, showing that the battle with inflation in the US is still ongoing.

 

Recent strong US GDP growth data in the first quarter and unemployment claims also boosted the chances of a Fed rate hike in June.

 

Markets are pricing in a 40% chance of a 0.25% Fed interest rate hike in June, up from 31%.

 

Policy Gap

 

The ongoing interest rate gap between the US and Europe is standing at 150 basis points, and it might grow even further next month. 

Forex and Currency News

GBP/USD news

Forex

Sterling sharpens decline to five-month nadir after weak data
2024-04-19 11:40AM UTC
Sterling tumbled in European trade against a basket of major rivals, sharpening losses for the ...
EUR/USD news

Forex

Euro approaches week high amid positive outlook
2024-04-18 08:30AM UTC
Euro rose in European trade on Thursday against a basket of major rivals, extending gains for the ...
Forex News

Forex

Dollar gives up five-month high on profit-taking
2024-04-17 10:56AM UTC
The dollar lost ground in European trade on Wednesday against a basket of major rivals away from ...

Forex Technical Analysis

GBP USD Analysis

Forex

The GBPUSD forecast update 19-04-2024
2024-04-19 10:43AM UTC
GBPUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The GBPUSD price trades with clear positivity to ...
EUR USD Analysis

Forex

The EURUSD price forecast update - 19-04-2024
2024-04-19 10:43AM UTC
EURUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The EURUSD price finds solid support at the ...
Technical Analysis

Forex

The NZDCAD surrenders to the resistance line stability – Forecast today – 19-4-2024
2024-04-19 08:21AM UTC
NZDCAD Pair Analysis Expected Scenario The NZDCAD pair has confirmed its submission to ...